Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.523330 0.609100 0.704085 0.817021 0.947596 1.093785 1.269850
2025-02-23 0.379222 0.492979 0.632923 0.817499 1.054341 1.347877 1.739234
2025-03-02 0.298690 0.420136 0.581132 0.809668 1.125284 1.545395 2.146828
2025-03-09 0.247747 0.371683 0.546310 0.809476 1.195246 1.739247 2.564064
2025-03-16 0.202953 0.322161 0.499317 0.780595 1.214856 1.858669 2.884561
2025-03-23 0.187498 0.312774 0.507864 0.832107 1.355915 2.167133 3.516938
2025-03-30 0.159557 0.278834 0.472890 0.809485 1.376706 2.291542 3.876158
2025-04-06 0.136108 0.248411 0.438725 0.782217 1.384220 2.392379 4.204811
2025-04-13 0.117230 0.222877 0.408905 0.757419 1.391079 2.490225 4.536027
2025-04-20 0.106139 0.209623 0.398459 0.764715 1.453728 2.688462 5.061647
2025-04-27 0.100935 0.206556 0.405805 0.804935 1.579960 3.011440 5.845907
2025-05-04 0.094243 0.199586 0.404777 0.828772 1.677522 3.291279 6.579125
2025-05-11 0.086464 0.189622 0.397215 0.839938 1.753992 3.543742 7.297030
2025-05-18 0.078348 0.177845 0.384607 0.839473 1.807548 3.758510 7.967353
2025-05-25 0.070560 0.165615 0.369395 0.831401 1.843967 3.942200 8.594087
2025-06-01 0.064387 0.156070 0.358590 0.831202 1.896580 4.163866 9.323570
2025-06-08 0.056709 0.141930 0.335853 0.801563 1.881065 4.239774 9.747898
2025-06-15 0.055702 0.143497 0.348708 0.854426 2.056456 4.745870 11.173579
2025-06-22 0.049763 0.132122 0.330077 0.831211 2.053823 4.857412 11.721082
2025-06-29 0.044232 0.120966 0.310527 0.803227 2.036353 4.932888 12.192664
2025-07-06 0.039476 0.111128 0.292933 0.777778 2.021799 5.013087 12.683484
2025-07-13 0.036909 0.106775 0.288571 0.785266 2.089830 5.296356 13.696679
2025-07-20 0.036150 0.107292 0.296830 0.826541 2.248578 5.816309 15.351684